$ 52,631 VolVerifiable resolution · pays $ 1.00 per correct share
Which film released in 2026 will end up with the highest box office worldwide?
Other29%
Avengers: Doomsday26%
Michael24%
Toy Story 521%
What will be the cumulative worldwide box office of Avengers: Doomsday by 02/28/2027?
From US$ 1,000,000,000 to US$ 1,499,999,99931%
Less than US$ 1,000,000,00025%
From US$ 1,500,000,000 to US$ 1,999,999,99923%
US$ 2,000,000,000 or more21%
In which range will the S&P 500 close in the last trading session of 2026?
De 7.500,00 até menos de 8.000,0028%
De 7.000,00 até menos de 7.500,0026%
8.000,00 ou mais24%
Abaixo de 7.000,0022%
Which lab will have the #1 model on LMArena's overall text leaderboard on Jan. 31, 2027?
xAI or another29%
Google28%
Anthropic22%
OpenAI21%
Who will win Super Bowl LXI?
Who will be elected Speaker of the U.S. House by the end of January 2027?
Hakeem Jeffries29%
Mike Johnson27%
Any other person26%
No Speaker elected by the end of January 202719%
Will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on 31 December 2026?
52%chance
Which country will win the 2027 Junior Ice Hockey World Cup?
Will Giorgia Meloni still be President of the Council of Ministers of Italy on 31/01/2027?
85%chance
Who will be the first person publicly and officially disclosed as Taylor Swift's 'maid of honor' or 'matron of honor', in connection with her already-held wedding to Travis Kelce, by 2027-07-01?
Who will be Premier of Quebec on 01/31/2027?
Who will be the Premier of Victoria on January 31, 2027?
54%chance
Will there be at least one Taylor Swift family member among the publicly confirmed bridesmaids by 2027-07-01?
41%chance
Will Bitcoin price exceed US$ 150,000 before October 19, 2026?
45%chance
Will Germany elect its first female federal president in the next federal presidential election?
53%chance
Will Pedro Sánchez officially be Prime Minister of Spain on 31/01/2027 at 23:59 Europe/Madrid?
42%chance
Which school will be the champion of the 2027 Rio de Janeiro Carnival Special Group?
Who will win the 2026 Formula 1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?
What will the TCMB policy rate be after the 2026-12-10 monetary policy announcement?
33% to 35.5%28%
Above 35.5%26%
Below 30%24%
30% to less than 33%23%
In which range will the official USD/EGP exchange rate be on the last banking business day of 2026 in Egypt?
Greater than or equal to EGP 55.00 and less than EGP 60.0030%
Greater than or equal to EGP 50.00 and less than EGP 55.0029%
Greater than or equal to EGP 60.0021%
Less than EGP 50.0020%
Which party will win the most seats in the 2027 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election?
Bharatiya Janata Party34%
Samajwadi Party24%
Other/Draw22%
Bahujan Samaj Party20%
Who will lead the 2026-27 Border-Gavaskar Trophy after the first three Tests?
India38%
Australia32%
Series tied29%
What will Egypt's average urban inflation be in Q4 2026?
10%–11.9%28%
Below 10%24%
12%–13.9%24%
14% or more23%
Which candidate will be officially elected Governor of Piauí in the 2026 election, after all applicable rounds and official certification?
Rafael Fonteles (PT)62%
Ciro Nogueira (PP)20%
Mainha (Podemos)18%
Featured market · simulator
Will Bitcoin price exceed US$ 150,000 before October 19, 2026?
Current distribution · $ 52,631 total volume
YES · 45%NO · 55%
Calculator · taking position on YES
$
Summary · YES
You buy1,111 contracts · 45¢
If it wins$1,111.11 USDC+$611.11
If it loses$0.00 USDC−$500.00
Live activity
🇩🇪Will Germany elect its first female federal president in the next federal presidential election?NO · POLITICS+$9.87 USDC
🇧🇷In which range will the S&P 500 close in the last trading session of 2026?YES · ECONOMY+$4 USDC
🇩🇪Will Germany elect its first female federal president in the next federal presidential election?NO · POLITICS+$4 USDC
🇳🇱Which film released in 2026 will end up with the highest box office worldwide?YES · CINEMA+$3 USDC
🇨🇦Which country will win the 2027 Junior Ice Hockey World Cup?YES · SPORTS+$2.63 USDC
🇯🇵What will Egypt's average urban inflation be in Q4 2026?YES · ECONOMY+$6.04 USDC
🇮🇹In which range will the S&P 500 close in the last trading session of 2026?YES · ECONOMY+$2.33 USDC
Top traders · 30d
01🇨🇦 0xa55c…a037$ 2,001 USDC
02🇨🇦 0x5b11…d701$ 1,960 USDC
03🇨🇦 0xc042…c169$ 1,950 USDC
04🇨🇦 0x5d03…8730$ 1,821 USDC
05🇨🇦 0x1d0e…379e$ 1,816 USDC
06🇨🇦 0x72c0…0f69$ 1,790 USDC
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